Birthday Present













Math Forum: Ask Dr. Math FAQ: The Birthday Problem -- Ask Dr. Math: FAQ The Birthday Problem Dr. Math FAQ || Classic Problems || Formulas || Search Dr. Math || Dr. Math Home Suppose you flip a coin and bet that it will come up tails. Since you are equally likely to get heads or tails, the probability of tails is 50%. This means that if you try this bet often, you should win about half the time. What if somebody offered to bet that at least two people in your math class had the same birthday? Would you take the bet? This question is more complicated than flipping a coin, because the chance of finding two people with the same birthday depends on the number of people you ask. If there were only one other person in your math class, you might be surprised to find out that she had the same birthday as you. If there were a pair of people with the same birthday in a class of 366 people, would you still be surprised? How large must a class be to make the probability of finding two people with the same birthday at least 50%? Let's forget about leap year when we solve this problem (no February 29 birthdays!) This way, we can assume that a year is always 365 days long. We'll start by figuring out the probability that two people have the same birthday. The first person can have any birthday. That gives him 365 possible birthdays out of 365 days, so the probability of the first person having the "right" birthday is 365/365, or 100%. The chance that the second person has the same birthday is 1/365. To find the probability that both people have this birthday, we have to multiply their separate probabilities. (365/365) * (1/365) = 1/365, or about 0.27%. Now, what about three people ? The chance of the first and second person sharing a birthday is still 1/365. The first and third person might share a birthday instead. The probability of that is 1/365 as well. But what if the second and third person shared a birthday? And what if all three of them had the same birthday? Things are getting complicated fast. Four or five people would be even messier. Is there a simpler way? To solve the birthday problem, we need to use one of the basic rules of probability: the sum of the probability that an event will happen and the probability that the event won't happen is always 1. (In other words, the chance that anything might or might nothappen is always 100%.) If we can work out the probability that no two people will have the same birthday, we can use this rule to find the probability that two people will share a birthday: P(event happens) + P(event doesn't happen) = 1 P(two people share birthday) + P(no two people share birthday) = 1 P(two people share birthday) = 1 - P(no two people share birthday). So, what is the probability that no two people will share a birthday? Again, the first person can have any birthday. The second person's birthday has to be different. There are 364 different days to choose from, so the chance that two people have different birthdays is 364/365. That leaves 363 birthdays out of 365 open for the third person. To find the probability that both the second person and the third person will have different birthdays, we have to multiply: (365/365) * (364/365) * (363/365) = 132 132/133 225, which is about 99.18%. If we want to know the probability that four people will all have different birthdays, we multiply again: (364/365) * (363/365) * (362/365) = 47 831 784/ 48 627 125, or about 98.36%. We can keep on going the same way as long as we want. A formula for the probability that n people have different birthdays is ((365-1)/365) * ((365-2)/365) * ((365-3)/365) * . . . * ((365-n+1)/365). If you know permutation notation, you can write this formula as (365_P_n)/(365^n). That's the same as 365! / ((365-n)! * 365^n). We've made some progress, but we still haven't answered the original question: how large must a class be to make the probability of finding two people with the same birthday at least 50%? We know that the probability of finding at least two people with the same birthday is 1 minus the probability that everybody has a different birthday, and we know how to find the probability that everybody has a different birthday for any number of people. The easiest way to find the right class size is to use a calculator to try different numbers in the formula. It turns out that the smallest class where the chance of finding two people with the same birthday is more than 50% is... a class of 23 people . (The probability is about 50.73%.) From the Dr. Math archives: Probability Theory: Coincidental Birthday Probability of the Same Birthday within a Group Birthday Probabilities Three Share a Birthday The Birthday Problem; Queuing at a Bank Birthday Probability, Class of 25 One Person of Seven Born on Monday Odds of Left-Handedness in a Group From the Web: The Birthday Problem: A short lesson in probability , George Reese A Java applet that you can use to test different class sizes (it works better with small classes) and graphs of the probability for different numbers of people. The Law of Small Errors , Keith Devlin The birthday problem, and related questions - what's the probability that someone will have your birthday? Birthday Surprises, Ivars Peterson Birthday Problem, Eric Weisstein's World of Mathematics Coincidence, Alexander Bogomolny How to Read Mathematics, Shai Simonson and Fernando Gouveau This article uses an explanation of the birthday problem as an example. An Introduction to Mathematica and the "Birthday Problem," Louie Beuschlein For a general review of probability: Probability, Dr. Math FAQ Probability in the Real World, Dr. Math FAQ - Ursula Whitcher, for the Math Forum Submit your ownquestion to Dr. Math [ Privacy Policy ] [ Terms of Use ] Math Forum Home || Math Library || Quick Reference || Math Forum Search Ask Dr. Math ® © 1994-2005 The Math Forum http://mathforum.org/dr.math/



Creative Gift Wrap Carol

Crafts : Gift Wrap : Creative Gift Wrap : Home & Garden Television   Program Guide Shows A - Z Decorating Remodeling Gardening At Home Crafts Store SEARCH CRAFTS Artists / Crafters Beads Books / Videos Clay Dolls Exhibits / Events Fabric Crafts Holidays / Special Occasions Birthdays Christmas / Hanukkah / Kwanzaa Easter / Passover Father's Day Gift Wrap Halloween July 4th Mother's Day Ribbons / Bows Thanksgiving Valentine's Day Weddings Other Home Accessories Kid Crafts Metal / Wire Mosaics Needle Crafts New Products Painting / Finishes Paper / Cardboard Crafts Personal Accessories Quilting Resources / Organizations Scrapbooking Sewing Stamping Tools / Equipment Wood / Glass Creative Gift Wrap Carol Duvall Show : Episode CDS-105 -- More Projects » One of Carol's frequent guests, Christine Angeli, demonstrates several different means of creating custom gift wrap, including the use of cake toppers, flowers, Con-Tact paper (or other adhesive-backed paper), and ribbon. All kinds of unlikely materials may be attached with a hot glue gun instead of tape. ALSO IN THIS EPISODE: Carol Duvall Show : Episode CDS-105 • Mosaic Tiling • Eggshell Mosaics • Creative Gift Wrap • Using Wire Home | About Us | Newsletters | Questions | Advertising Site Map | Privacy | Legal DIY | Fine Living | Food Network | Shop At Home Great American Country | HGTVPro | Living | Video On Demand Comparison Shop for Home Gifts & Patio Furniture at Shopzilla © 2005 Scripps Networks, Inc. All rights reserved.



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Sentimental Gifts For Men - Gifts BW gifts | gifts Resources | Add URL Wine Gifts & Baskets From the casual wine drinker to the serious enthusiast, we have a gift that will make them smile. Our selection includes premium wine, gourmet baskets, distinctive champagne sets & the very finest California and Northwest wines. Sentimental Gifts For Men Articles Frugal Gifts for Men Do you find it hard to come up with frugal gifts for men? Try these ideas....( Continue Reading ) Frugal Gifts for Men Do you find it hard to come up with frugal gifts for men? Try these ideas....( Continue Reading ) Top 10 Graduation Gifts Graduation from high school is a happy occasion for parents and children. It's a right of passage which deserves to be marked with gifts of dignity and lasting sentiment. Here are my suggestions....( Continue Reading ) Consumer Spending Projections for Mothers Day Consumers plan to spend an average of $97 per household on Mother's Day gifts this year, a 36 percent increase over the 2001 average of $62, according to the National Retail Federation....( Continue Reading ) Valentine Gifts for Her Valentine gifts for a woman....( Continue Reading ) Sentimental Gifts For Men Directory Links crafts christmas gifts the gifts of the spirit christmas gifts for wives boy scout gifts unique musical gifts potpourri gifts gourmet baskets gifts for grandmother catholic first communion gifts 90th birthday gifts wine of the month gifts charleston gift baskets cookie jar gifts unique wedding gifts ideas cat gifts harry and david gift baskets handmade wedding gifts liquor gift baskets send gifts to india personalized birthday gifts gifts com online baby gifts gift baskets in boston flowers and gifts by steve traditional housewarming gifts laser engraved gifts spencer gifts stores gifts same day delivery christian christmas gifts toronto gift baskets gifts for your girlfriend anniversary gifts ideas pet gift baskets fishing gag gifts unique unusual gifts 7 gifts of the holy spirit 10 year wedding anniversary gifts 40th wedding anniversary gifts gifts for wine lovers christmas gifts for teachers gifts bridal shower first anniversary gifts homeade christmas gifts gift baskets michigan promotion gifts Popular Search Terms: Gifts BW © 2004 Gifts BW All trademarks are the property of their respective owners. All Rights Reserved. This site is not related to Brajeshwar or Brajeshwar.com in anyway, shape or form



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Gift Certificates Commissary Gift

Commissaries.com - Commissary Gift Certificates skip to page content skip to page navigation skip to site navigation accessibility commissaries.com Your Web browser does not appear to support Javascript. To enjoy the full features of commissaries.com, you must use a Web browser that both supports JavaScript and has JavaScript enabled. Below are instruction on how to enable Javascript in various browsers. If you are still experiencing problems, please contact Web support. Internet Explorer 6.X Open Internet Explorer. Select Tools > Internet Options . In Internet Options dialog box select the Security tab. Click Custom Level button at bottom. The Security Settings dialog box will pop up. Under the Scripting category, enable Active Scripting, Allow paste options via script and Scripting of Java applets . Click OK twice to close out. Click Refresh . Netscape 7.X Open Netscape. Select Edit > Preferences . Click the arrow next to Advanced . Click Scripts & Plugins . Check Navigator beneath "Enable Javascript for". Click OK . Click Reload . Mozilla Firefox 1.X Open Firefox. Select Tools > Options > Web Features . Check Enable Javascript . Click Reload . Opera 7.X Open Opera. Select File > Quick Preferences . Check Enable Javascript . Click Reload . -- FAQs | Search commissaries.com commissaries.com -- Site Navigation Home Locations Store Locator Alphabetical List Geographical List Region Offices Shopping Savings Aisle Promotions Shopping List Find a Recipe Human Resources Job Announcements News Scholarship Info Press Releases Fact Sheets Vision Magazine Newsletter About Us Contact Us Business with DeCA Links Military News Military Links Military Community Other Links Commissary Gift Certificates Commissary Gift Certificates can be purchased several ways: Purchase to give as a gift to an authorized shopper for a special occasion. Go to "Order Commissary Gift Certificates." Purchase and take delivery , then forward to a military relief organization locally. Go to "Order Commissary Gift Certificates." Elect to donate through one of three non-profit organizations: the Air Force Aid Society for military families worldwide, the USO (for service members overseas), or Fisher House Foundation for families staying in one of 30 comfort homes near military hospitals worldwide. Once there are enough donated certificates to pass along, CertifiChecks bundles them up and forwards them to the designated charity which then distributes them as need arises. Go to "Donate Commissary Gift Certificates." You can also give a Gift from the Homefront (Exchange gift certificates). Give the Gift of Groceries! A partnership between CertifiChecks, the United Service Organizations (USO), the Air Force Aid Society (AFAS), Fisher House Foundation, Inc., and the Defense Commissary Agency (DeCA) lets every American make a significant material contribution to the morale and well being of military personnel at home and across the globe. Click here to DONATE Commissary Gift Certificate(s) to Military Families Click here to ORDER Commissary Gift Certificate(s) OR order by phone at 1-877-770-4438* (*US ONLY) FAQs about Commissary Gift Certificates Mail-in or Fax Commissary Gift Certificate Order Form NOTE: The above files are in PDF format. You must have Acrobat Reader installed to view and print these files. Download Acrobat Reader DISCLAIMER - The appearance of this hyperlink does not constitute endorsement by the Defense Commissary Agency of the linked web site, or the information, products or services contained therein. The Defense Commissary Agency does not exercise any editorial control over the information you may find at this location. The link is consistent with the stated purpose of this Department of Defense web site. Shopping Visit Our Savings Aisle See Our Promotions Create a Shopping List Customer Bill of Rights Find a Recipe Home | Locations | Shopping | Human Resources | News | About Us | Links | FAQs | Search FOIA | FWA | Food Safety | Give the Gift of Groceries | Privacy Statement | Accessibility commissaries.com - The official online resource of the Defense Commissary Agency, 1300 E Ave., Fort Lee, VA 23831-1800




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