Gifts For Women
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Gifts for her, gifts for women, gift ideas for wives and girfriends from lastminute.com Mobile site | Security | My account | Help Inspiration for her If you're after a gift for the lady in your life then take a look at our wonderful presents for girls featuring an inspiring range of gorgeous gifts guaranteed to keep her smiling. With plenty of great gift ideas for women it's easy to find the perfect pressie. Sort results by: Lowest price Highest price Our favourites tab_title -- Our favourite offers View without images Showing results: 1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-49 lastminute.com exclusive bouquet £27.00 more info Champagne in a bed of chocolate hearts £25.99 more info Fresh bouquet of seasonal flowers £25.00to£33.00 more info Complete Nails Inc manicure gift box with free Nails Inc special manicure voucher worth 25 £49.00 more info Candikini - the candy bikini set £9.99 more info Apple iPod Nano 4GB - now in stock £179.00 more info Apple iPod Nano 2GB - now in stock £139.00 more info Buy a goat or some chickens from FARM AFRICA £10.00to£30.00 more info Become a Laird or Lady of Glencairn £30.00to£55.00 more info Send someone into orbit - name a star, 50% off RRP £20.00 more info Showing results: 1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-49 Site map | How your contract is formed with lastminute.com | Terms & Conditions | Affiliates | Become a supplier | Investor relations | Accessibility Statement Help us to improve your lastminute.com - email bugs and technical problems . (Please note: we will not reply to emails sent to this address) Part of the lastminute.com group. UK Ireland France Belgique Nederland Deutschland Italia España Sverige Australia New Zealand Japan USA lastminute.com , travelocity.com , travel4less.com , travelselect.com , medhotels.com , holidayhotels.com , onlinetravel.com deckchair.com , bargainholidays.com , ifyouski.com , exhilaration.co.uk , travelstore.com Travel UK | Voyage FR | Reise DE | Viaggio IT | Viaje ES | Reis NL | Resa SE | Travel AU | Travel NZ | Travel JAP | Voyage BE Search site : Skip navigation links Home Latest offers USA city breaks Days out under £20 Hot holiday deals Win a 4* Toronto trip Travel Flights Hotels Holidays Worldwide holidays Summer sun -- Winter sun City breaks Eurostar deals Ski holidays Cruises Car hire Ferry Trains Travel insurance Excursions Going out Theatre tickets Restaurants Concert tickets Days & nights out Sports tickets Weekends Cinema & DVD Nights in Dating Gift ideas Gifts & gadgets Unusual gifts Experiences Health & beauty More Auctions Mobile & TV Casino & poker Lotto tickets Sports betting Bingo Diet & fitness CDs and Books Credit card Money --
Birthday Present
Math Forum: Ask Dr. Math FAQ: The Birthday Problem -- Ask Dr. Math: FAQ The Birthday Problem Dr. Math FAQ || Classic Problems || Formulas || Search Dr. Math || Dr. Math Home Suppose you flip a coin and bet that it will come up tails. Since you are equally likely to get heads or tails, the probability of tails is 50%. This means that if you try this bet often, you should win about half the time. What if somebody offered to bet that at least two people in your math class had the same birthday? Would you take the bet? This question is more complicated than flipping a coin, because the chance of finding two people with the same birthday depends on the number of people you ask. If there were only one other person in your math class, you might be surprised to find out that she had the same birthday as you. If there were a pair of people with the same birthday in a class of 366 people, would you still be surprised? How large must a class be to make the probability of finding two people with the same birthday at least 50%? Let's forget about leap year when we solve this problem (no February 29 birthdays!) This way, we can assume that a year is always 365 days long. We'll start by figuring out the probability that two people have the same birthday. The first person can have any birthday. That gives him 365 possible birthdays out of 365 days, so the probability of the first person having the "right" birthday is 365/365, or 100%. The chance that the second person has the same birthday is 1/365. To find the probability that both people have this birthday, we have to multiply their separate probabilities. (365/365) * (1/365) = 1/365, or about 0.27%. Now, what about three people ? The chance of the first and second person sharing a birthday is still 1/365. The first and third person might share a birthday instead. The probability of that is 1/365 as well. But what if the second and third person shared a birthday? And what if all three of them had the same birthday? Things are getting complicated fast. Four or five people would be even messier. Is there a simpler way? To solve the birthday problem, we need to use one of the basic rules of probability: the sum of the probability that an event will happen and the probability that the event won't happen is always 1. (In other words, the chance that anything might or might nothappen is always 100%.) If we can work out the probability that no two people will have the same birthday, we can use this rule to find the probability that two people will share a birthday: P(event happens) + P(event doesn't happen) = 1 P(two people share birthday) + P(no two people share birthday) = 1 P(two people share birthday) = 1 - P(no two people share birthday). So, what is the probability that no two people will share a birthday? Again, the first person can have any birthday. The second person's birthday has to be different. There are 364 different days to choose from, so the chance that two people have different birthdays is 364/365. That leaves 363 birthdays out of 365 open for the third person. To find the probability that both the second person and the third person will have different birthdays, we have to multiply: (365/365) * (364/365) * (363/365) = 132 132/133 225, which is about 99.18%. If we want to know the probability that four people will all have different birthdays, we multiply again: (364/365) * (363/365) * (362/365) = 47 831 784/ 48 627 125, or about 98.36%. We can keep on going the same way as long as we want. A formula for the probability that n people have different birthdays is ((365-1)/365) * ((365-2)/365) * ((365-3)/365) * . . . * ((365-n+1)/365). If you know permutation notation, you can write this formula as (365_P_n)/(365^n). That's the same as 365! / ((365-n)! * 365^n). We've made some progress, but we still haven't answered the original question: how large must a class be to make the probability of finding two people with the same birthday at least 50%? We know that the probability of finding at least two people with the same birthday is 1 minus the probability that everybody has a different birthday, and we know how to find the probability that everybody has a different birthday for any number of people. The easiest way to find the right class size is to use a calculator to try different numbers in the formula. It turns out that the smallest class where the chance of finding two people with the same birthday is more than 50% is... a class of 23 people . (The probability is about 50.73%.) From the Dr. Math archives: Probability Theory: Coincidental Birthday Probability of the Same Birthday within a Group Birthday Probabilities Three Share a Birthday The Birthday Problem; Queuing at a Bank Birthday Probability, Class of 25 One Person of Seven Born on Monday Odds of Left-Handedness in a Group From the Web: The Birthday Problem: A short lesson in probability , George Reese A Java applet that you can use to test different class sizes (it works better with small classes) and graphs of the probability for different numbers of people. The Law of Small Errors , Keith Devlin The birthday problem, and related questions - what's the probability that someone will have your birthday? Birthday Surprises, Ivars Peterson Birthday Problem, Eric Weisstein's World of Mathematics Coincidence, Alexander Bogomolny How to Read Mathematics, Shai Simonson and Fernando Gouveau This article uses an explanation of the birthday problem as an example. An Introduction to Mathematica and the "Birthday Problem," Louie Beuschlein For a general review of probability: Probability, Dr. Math FAQ Probability in the Real World, Dr. Math FAQ - Ursula Whitcher, for the Math Forum Submit your ownquestion to Dr. Math [ Privacy Policy ] [ Terms of Use ] Math Forum Home || Math Library || Quick Reference || Math Forum Search Ask Dr. Math ® © 1994-2005 The Math Forum http://mathforum.org/dr.math/
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